Is America Losing Its Democracy? Analyzing V-Dem's Alarming Predictions and Trump's Controversial Actions

March 23, 2025

In recent years, the integrity of democratic governance in the United States has come under intense scrutiny, especially in light of alarming predictions made by the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) project.

With its comprehensive analysis led by political scientist Staffan Lindberg, the V-Dem report warns that if current political trends persist, the U.S.

could find itself downgraded to the status of an 'electoral autocracy' by
2026.

This chilling forecast draws parallels between the tactics used by former President Donald Trump and those employed by global leaders like Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Hungary’s Viktor Orbán, and India’s Narendra Modi—all known for their controversial approaches to governance.

Despite this dire warning, it is noteworthy that the V-Dem classification still categorizes the U.S.

as a 'Liberal Democracy,' a status that notably surpasses that of Canada, classified as an 'Electoral Democracy.' Amid this complex landscape, the article delves deeper into Trump's controversial actions, including his pardons and the dismissal of agency watchdogs, examining whether these moves signal a genuine threat to democratic norms or stem from a systematic effort to combat what he perceives as government inefficiency.

Additionally, the article sheds light on potential biases within the V-Dem funding sources, illuminating the often politically charged narrative surrounding democracy in America and the implications of Trump’s governance on both democratic integrity and the interests of progressive organizations.

Is America Losing Its Democracy? Analyzing V-Dem

Key Takeaways

  • The V-Dem project warns that the U.S. could become classified as an 'electoral autocracy' by 2026 due to current political actions.
  • Despite criticisms, the U.S. is still classified as a 'Liberal Democracy,' performing better than Canada in democratic assessments.
  • The article suggests that Trump's controversial actions may be driven by deep-rooted governmental issues rather than outright authoritarianism.

V-Dem's Assessment of American Democracy

The Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) project has raised significant concerns regarding the health of American democracy, particularly in light of actions taken by former President Donald Trump.

Led by political scientist Staffan Lindberg, the project warns that if the current political trajectory continues unchecked, the United States could descend into an 'electoral autocracy' by
2026.

This alarming prediction draws stark comparisons between Trump's governance style and that of leaders such as Turkey's Erdoğan, Hungary's Orbán, and India's Modi, noting that Trump's consolidation of power has occurred at a notably accelerated pace.

Despite these dire assessments, the V-Dem report still classifies the United States as a 'Liberal Democracy,' a status higher than Canada’s classification as an 'Electoral Democracy.' This distinction, however, has prompted discussions around Trump's controversial decisions—ranging from pardoning allies to undermining independent agency watchdogs—which many critics argue represent systemic risks to democratic norms.

In light of these observations, the author also posits that Trump's seemingly authoritarian actions can be viewed as reactions to longstanding issues within the government, rather than outright authoritarian impulses.

This perspective shifts the narrative, suggesting that the criticisms levied by progressives may be politically charged, seeking to delegitimize Trump's efforts to reduce government waste and fulfill campaign promises.

Additionally, the potential biases in V-Dem’s funding sources, often linked to progressive ideologies, raise questions about the objectivity of their assessments, especially as they argue that Trump's administration poses a direct threat to the financial interests of organizations reliant on government funding.

Trump's Actions: Indications of Authoritarianism or Reform?

In examining Trump’s actions, it is crucial to consider the broader political landscape that informs such decisions.

Critics argue that the former president’s unilateral moves—such as undermining the judiciary and attacking the press—are indicators of a slide towards authoritarian governance.

However, proponents contend that these actions are more reflective of a disruptive approach aimed at addressing systemic inefficiencies within a sprawling government apparatus.

This viewpoint supports the notion that Trump's political maneuvers may also arise from frustration with traditional political elites and bureaucratic hurdles that stifle responsiveness.

Hence, a more nuanced understanding of these dynamics might frame his controversial strategies not merely as power grabs, but as efforts to realign the government with the will of his voter base, which yearns for significant reforms rather than slow bureaucratic pretend-action.

Ultimately, this complexity suggests that evaluating Trump's legacy will require examining both the immediate consequences of his actions and the underlying motivations that drive them.